Merthyr Town 42%Draw 21%AFC Telford United 38%Expected goals 1.52 – 1.43
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 18 August the National League North brings Merthyr Town against AFC Telford United. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Merthyr Town are 17th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; AFC Telford United are 11th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Merthyr Town, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spennymoor Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AFC Telford United, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Worksop Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Merthyr Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for AFC Telford United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merthyr Town 1.5 xG, AFC Telford United 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merthyr Town 42%, draw 21%, AFC Telford United 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merthyr Town 1–1 AFC Telford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merthyr Town42%fair 2.41 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.60
AFC Telford United38%fair 2.65 · @2.45
2.95Expected goals
1.52Merthyr Town xG
1.43AFC Telford United xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.5 – 1.4 AFC Telford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✗
42%
2.41
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Draw no bet
Merthyr Town (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
AFC Telford United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Merthyr Town to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Merthyr Town – last 6
LWLWWL
15 Aug
@ Spennymoor Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Hednesford Town
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Worcester City
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Swansea
3–0
W
21 Jul
vs Briton Ferry
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Forest Green
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Telford United – last 6
LLLWLL
15 Aug
@ Worksop Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Brackley Town
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Tamworth
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Walsall
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Crewe
0–3
L
6 Apr
vs Kidderminster Harriers
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and AFC Telford United.
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United?
On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Telford United 38%.
How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United?
Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 1–1 AFC Telford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United?
Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
