Harborough Town v AFC Telford United Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHarborough Town to win ✗56% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Harborough Town welcome AFC Telford United to Harborough Town Community Football Ground for a National League North fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Harborough Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; AFC Telford United are 11th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Harborough Town, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Hereford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

AFC Telford United, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oxford City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harborough Town 1.6 xG, AFC Telford United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Harborough Town 56%, draw 22%, AFC Telford United 22%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Harborough Town to win (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harborough Town 1–0 AFC Telford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harborough Town56%fair 1.78 · @1.95

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25

AFC Telford United22%fair 4.53 · @3.50

2.44Expected goals

1.58Harborough Town xG

0.86AFC Telford United xG

56%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–112%

2–011%

2–19%

0–09%

0–17%

From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.6 – 0.9 AFC Telford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Harborough Town to win ✗	56%	1.78	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.78	1.57
Draw no bet	Harborough Town (draw no bet)	72%	1.39	–
Asian handicap	AFC Telford United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Harborough Town to score first ✗	59%	1.69	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town ✗	33%	3.03	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.69	–

Harborough Town – last 6

LLWLWD

8 Sep	vs Hereford	0–3	L
5 Sep	@ Brackley Town	0–1	L
31 Aug	vs Marine	2–1	W
28 Aug	@ Hednesford Town	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Darlington 1883	4–2	W
18 Aug	@ Oxford City	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

AFC Telford United – last 6

WWLLDD

8 Sep	vs Oxford City	1–0	W
5 Sep	@ Scarborough Athletic	1–0	W
31 Aug	vs Bedford Town	0–1	L
28 Aug	@ Morecambe	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Hednesford Town	1–1	D
18 Aug	@ Merthyr Town	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

Our pick is Harborough Town to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

On our numbers Harborough Town have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Telford United 22%.

How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–0 AFC Telford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Harborough Town Community Football Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Harborough Town v AFC Telford United: numbers & prediction