Scarborough Athletic 46%Draw 22%Merthyr Town 33%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.26
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultScarborough Athletic to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Scarborough Athletic welcome Merthyr Town to Mounting Systems Stadium for a National League North fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Scarborough Athletic are 20th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Merthyr Town are 17th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Scarborough Athletic, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Macclesfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Merthyr Town, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chester, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Scarborough Athletic 1.5 xG, Merthyr Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Scarborough Athletic 46%, draw 22%, Merthyr Town 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scarborough Athletic 1–1 Merthyr Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Scarborough Athletic46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Merthyr Town33%fair 3.05 · @3.10
2.81Expected goals
1.55Scarborough Athletic xG
1.26Merthyr Town xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Scarborough Athletic 1.5 – 1.3 Merthyr Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scarborough Athletic to win✗
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
Scarborough Athletic (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Merthyr Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Scarborough Athletic to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scarborough Athletic / FT Scarborough Athletic✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Scarborough Athletic – last 6
DLLWLW
8 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ King's Lynn Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Southport
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Chorley
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs Spennymoor Town
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merthyr Town – last 6
WWLDDD
8 Sep
@ Chester
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Macclesfield
2–1
W
31 Aug
@ Buxton
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Chorley
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scarborough Athletic and Merthyr Town.
What is the prediction for Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
On our numbers Scarborough Athletic have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Merthyr Town 33%.
How many goals will there be in Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
Our predicted score is Scarborough Athletic 1–1 Merthyr Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mounting Systems Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
