Morecambe 57%Draw 25%Brackley Town 18%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.84
82%
Betarazi pick
Morecambe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Morecambe to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMorecambe to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceMorecambe or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Morecambe vs Brackley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the National League North brings Morecambe against Brackley Town at The Mazuma Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Morecambe are 9th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Brackley Town are 18th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Morecambe, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Southport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Brackley Town, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Buxton, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Morecambe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Brackley Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morecambe 1.7 xG, Brackley Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morecambe 57%, draw 25%, Brackley Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Morecambe or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Morecambe to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Morecambe or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morecambe 1–0 Brackley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morecambe57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Brackley Town18%fair 5.50 · @3.70
2.53Expected goals
1.69Morecambe xG
0.84Brackley Town xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Morecambe 1.7 – 0.8 Brackley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morecambe to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Morecambe or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Morecambe (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Brackley Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Morecambe to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Morecambe – last 6
LWWWLL
8 Sep
@ Southport
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Buxton
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Chester
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Radcliffe
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs South Shields
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brackley Town – last 6
LWDLLD
8 Sep
@ Buxton
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Harborough Town
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Chorley
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Macclesfield
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs King's Lynn Town
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Hebburn Town
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Brackley Town.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
Our pick is Morecambe or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brackley Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–0 Brackley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
Morecambe vs Brackley Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
