Hereford v South Shields Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSouth Shields to win ✗41% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.53

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.63

Hereford vs South Shields: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Hereford v South Shields in the National League North, played at Edgar Street. In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; South Shields are 1st (leading the league) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hereford, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Harborough Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

South Shields, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marine, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.0 xG, South Shields 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 38%, draw 21%, South Shields 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Hereford to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–1 South Shields. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hereford38%fair 2.61 · @2.88

Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50

South Shields41%fair 2.45 · @2.10

2.13Expected goals

1.04Hereford xG

1.09South Shields xG

56%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–113%

1–012%

0–012%

1–27%

0–27%

From our goals model: Hereford 1.0 – 1.1 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	South Shields to win ✗	41%	2.45	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.53
Draw no bet	South Shields (draw no bet) ✗	52%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Hereford +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	South Shields to score first ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT South Shields / FT South Shields ✗	20%	4.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.63	–

Hereford – last 6

WWWDWW

8 Sep	@ Harborough Town	3–0	W
5 Sep	vs Spennymoor Town	2–1	W
31 Aug	@ Southport	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Chester	1–1	D
22 Aug	@ Worksop Town	3–0	W
18 Aug	vs Radcliffe	3–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

South Shields – last 6

WWDDWW

8 Sep	vs Marine	2–1	W
5 Sep	@ Hednesford Town	1–0	W
31 Aug	vs Spalding United	1–1	D
22 Aug	vs Merthyr Town	1–1	D
18 Aug	@ Morecambe	1–0	W
15 Aug	vs Chorley	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hereford vs South Shields?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Hereford vs South Shields?

On our numbers Hereford have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Shields 41%.

How many goals will there be in Hereford vs South Shields?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hereford vs South Shields?

Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 South Shields, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Hereford vs South Shields?

Hereford vs South Shields (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hereford v South Shields: numbers & prediction