Spalding United 60%Draw 26%Bedford Town 14%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.72
86%
Betarazi pick
Spalding United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpalding United to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceSpalding United or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.78
Spalding United vs Bedford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Spalding United v Bedford Town in the National League North, played at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field. In the table, Spalding United are 12th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Bedford Town are 10th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spalding United, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Spennymoor Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Bedford Town, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Worksop Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bedford Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Spalding United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spalding United 1.7 xG, Bedford Town 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spalding United 60%, draw 26%, Bedford Town 14%.
Lower-risk option: Spalding United or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Spalding United to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spalding United or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spalding United 1–0 Bedford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spalding United60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Bedford Town14%fair 7.11 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.72Spalding United xG
0.72Bedford Town xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Spalding United 1.7 – 0.7 Bedford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Spalding United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Draw no bet
Spalding United (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Spalding United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Spalding United to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Spalding United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Spalding United – last 6
WWDWLD
8 Sep
@ Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Worksop Town
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Chester
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Macclesfield
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bedford Town – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Sep
@ Worksop Town
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Radcliffe
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ AFC Telford United
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Southport
1–4
L
18 Aug
vs Buxton
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Bedford Town.
What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
Our pick is Spalding United or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
On our numbers Spalding United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bedford Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–0 Bedford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spalding United vs Bedford Town?
Spalding United vs Bedford Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
