Worksop Town 59%Draw 23%Southport 17%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.95
83%
Betarazi pick
Worksop Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Worksop Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWorksop Town to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceWorksop Town or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Worksop Town vs Southport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Worksop Town v Southport in the National League North, played at Sandy Lane Stadium. In the table, Worksop Town are 14th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Southport are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Worksop Town, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bedford Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Southport, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Morecambe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Southport, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Worksop Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Worksop Town 1.9 xG, Southport 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Worksop Town 59%, draw 23%, Southport 17%.
Lower-risk option: Worksop Town or draw (83%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Worksop Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Worksop Town or draw (83%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Worksop Town 1–0 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Worksop Town59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Southport17%fair 5.74 · @3.40
2.88Expected goals
1.93Worksop Town xG
0.95Southport xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Worksop Town 1.9 – 1.0 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Worksop Town to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Worksop Town or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Worksop Town (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Worksop Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Worksop Town to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Worksop Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Worksop Town / FT Worksop Town✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Worksop Town – last 6
LWLLLL
8 Sep
vs Bedford Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Marine
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Spalding United
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Hereford
0–3
L
18 Aug
@ Hebburn Town
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
WLLLWD
8 Sep
vs Morecambe
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Spalding United
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hereford
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Scarborough Athletic
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Bedford Town
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Hednesford Town
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Worksop Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Worksop Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Worksop Town or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Worksop Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Worksop Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Southport 17%.
How many goals will there be in Worksop Town vs Southport?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Worksop Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Worksop Town 1–0 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Worksop Town vs Southport?
Worksop Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sandy Lane Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
