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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chester v Bedford Town: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Deva Stadium

Chester

LWWLL
1–0
FT
Chester 63%Draw 22%Bedford Town 15% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.73
63%
Betarazi pick

Chester to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultChester to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceChester or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Chester vs Bedford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the National League North brings Chester against Bedford Town at Deva Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chester are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; Bedford Town are 10th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Chester, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Spennymoor Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Bedford Town, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Wingate & Finchley, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bedford Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Chester.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chester 1.8 xG, Bedford Town 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chester 63%, draw 22%, Bedford Town 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chester to win (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chester 1–0 Bedford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chester63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Bedford Town15%fair 6.50 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.77Chester xG
0.73Bedford Town xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Chester 1.8 – 0.7 Bedford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChester to win ✓63%1.591.62
Double chanceChester or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.75
Draw no betChester (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapChester -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreChester to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultChester ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chester / FT Chester ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

Chester – last 6

LWWLLD
3 Oct@ Spennymoor Town1–4L
26 Sepvs Worksop Town4–1W
19 Sep@ Lower Breck2–1W
12 Sep@ Buxton1–3L
8 Sepvs Merthyr Town0–1L
5 Sep@ Hebburn Town1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bedford Town – last 6

WDDWLW
6 Oct@ Wingate & Finchley3–1W
3 Octvs Wingate & Finchley2–2D
26 Sepvs Hereford1–1D
19 Sepvs King's Lynn Town2–1W
12 Sep@ Spalding United1–2L
8 Sep@ Worksop Town2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chester and Bedford Town.

Chester vs Bedford Town head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chester vs Bedford Town?

Our pick is Chester to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Chester vs Bedford Town?

On our numbers Chester have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bedford Town 15%.

How many goals will there be in Chester vs Bedford Town?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chester vs Bedford Town?

Our predicted score is Chester 1–0 Bedford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Chester vs Bedford Town?

Chester vs Bedford Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deva Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.