Harborough Town v Southport Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHarborough Town to win ✓62% · @1.62

Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓84% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Harborough Town vs Southport: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Southport travel to face Harborough Town on Saturday 10 October in the National League North – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Harborough Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Southport are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Harborough Town, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over St Albans City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Southport, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Spennymoor Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Harborough Town, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Southport.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harborough Town 1.9 xG, Southport 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Harborough Town 62%, draw 22%, Southport 16%.
Lower-risk option: Harborough Town or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Harborough Town to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harborough Town 1–0 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harborough Town62%fair 1.62 · @1.62

Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.80

Southport16%fair 6.23 · @4.60

2.75Expected goals

1.90Harborough Town xG

0.85Southport xG

55%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

2–011%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

0–06%

From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.9 – 0.9 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Harborough Town to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.62
Double chance	Harborough Town or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.81	1.73
Draw no bet	Harborough Town (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Harborough Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Harborough Town to score first ✓	65%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Harborough Town ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town ✓	39%	2.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.19	–

Harborough Town – last 6

WLWDLL

3 Oct	vs St Albans City	3–2	W
26 Sep	@ Macclesfield	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Rushall Olympic	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs AFC Telford United	0–0	D
8 Sep	vs Hereford	0–3	L
5 Sep	@ Brackley Town	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Southport – last 6

DLLWLL

26 Sep	vs Spennymoor Town	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Morecambe	0–2	L
12 Sep	@ Worksop Town	0–2	L
8 Sep	vs Morecambe	2–1	W
5 Sep	@ Spalding United	0–2	L
31 Aug	vs Hereford	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Southport?

Our pick is Harborough Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Harborough Town vs Southport?

On our numbers Harborough Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southport 16%.

How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Southport?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Southport?

Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–0 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Harborough Town vs Southport?

Harborough Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Harborough Town v Southport: numbers & prediction