Hereford v Hednesford Town Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHereford to win ✗50% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Hereford vs Hednesford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Hereford v Hednesford Town in the National League North, played at Edgar Street. In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Hednesford Town are 5th (upper half) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hereford, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bedford Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hednesford Town, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Radcliffe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hereford, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Hednesford Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.8 xG, Hednesford Town 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 50%, draw 21%, Hednesford Town 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–1 Hednesford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hereford50%fair 1.99 · @2.10

Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40

Hednesford Town28%fair 3.52 · @3.00

3.05Expected goals

1.78Hereford xG

1.27Hednesford Town xG

61%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–110%

1–08%

2–07%

1–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Hereford 1.8 – 1.3 Hednesford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hereford to win ✗	50%	1.99	2.10 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.63	1.50
Draw no bet	Hereford (draw no bet) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Asian handicap	Hednesford Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Hereford to score first ✗	55%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.57	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hereford / FT Hereford ✗	30%	3.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.51	–

Hereford – last 6

DLWWWW

26 Sep	@ Bedford Town	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Stafford Rangers	2–3	L
12 Sep	vs South Shields	6–0	W
8 Sep	@ Harborough Town	3–0	W
5 Sep	vs Spennymoor Town	2–1	W
31 Aug	@ Southport	1–0	W

2.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Hednesford Town – last 6

WLLWLD

26 Sep	vs Radcliffe	4–1	W
19 Sep	vs Coventry United	0–1	L
12 Sep	@ Hebburn Town	1–2	L
8 Sep	@ King's Lynn Town	3–2	W
5 Sep	vs South Shields	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Spennymoor Town	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hereford vs Hednesford Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Hereford vs Hednesford Town?

On our numbers Hereford have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hednesford Town 28%.

How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Hednesford Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Hednesford Town?

Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Hednesford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Hereford vs Hednesford Town?

Hereford vs Hednesford Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hereford v Hednesford Town: numbers & prediction