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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chorley v AFC Telford United: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Victory Park

Chorley

WWWLW
2–1
FT
Chorley 43%Draw 22%AFC Telford United 36% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.33
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultChorley to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.42

Chorley vs AFC Telford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Chorley v AFC Telford United in the National League North, played at Victory Park. In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; AFC Telford United are 11th (upper half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chorley, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Barton Town Old Boys, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

AFC Telford United, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to King's Lynn Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Chorley, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for AFC Telford United.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended AFC Telford United 2–2 Chorley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.5 xG, AFC Telford United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 43%, draw 22%, AFC Telford United 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 AFC Telford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chorley43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
AFC Telford United36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
2.80Expected goals
1.47Chorley xG
1.33AFC Telford United xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.5 – 1.3 AFC Telford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChorley to win ✓43%2.352.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betChorley (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapAFC Telford United +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreChorley to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chorley / FT Chorley ✓24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.42–

Recent results

Chorley – last 6

WWWLWL
3 Oct@ Barton Town Old Boys4–1W
26 Sepvs Spalding United2–1W
19 Sep@ Rylands1–0W
12 Sep@ King's Lynn Town0–2L
8 Sepvs Darlington 18835–2W
5 Sep@ Oxford City0–4L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Telford United – last 6

LLDDWW
26 Sepvs King's Lynn Town0–5L
22 Sep@ Worksop Town2–5L
19 Sepvs Worksop Town2–2D
12 Sep@ Harborough Town0–0D
8 Sepvs Oxford City1–0W
5 Sep@ Scarborough Athletic1–0W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026AFC Telford United v Chorley2–2
Chorley vs AFC Telford United head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

On our numbers Chorley have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Telford United 36%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 AFC Telford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

Chorley vs AFC Telford United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.