Darlington 1883 37%Draw 21%Merthyr Town 41%Expected goals 1.35 – 1.45
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Darlington 1883 welcome Merthyr Town to Blackwell Meadows for a National League North fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Darlington 1883 are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Merthyr Town are 17th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Darlington 1883, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Morecambe, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Merthyr Town, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Marine, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Merthyr Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Darlington 1883.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Darlington 1883 1.4 xG, Merthyr Town 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Darlington 1883 37%, draw 21%, Merthyr Town 41%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Darlington 1883 1–1 Merthyr Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Darlington 188337%fair 2.68 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Merthyr Town41%fair 2.41 · @2.50
2.80Expected goals
1.35Darlington 1883 xG
1.45Merthyr Town xG
65%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Darlington 1883 1.4 – 1.4 Merthyr Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✗
41%
2.41
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Draw no bet
Merthyr Town (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Darlington 1883 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Merthyr Town to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Darlington 1883 – last 6
LDWLLL
3 Oct
@ Morecambe
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hebburn Town
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Redcar Town
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Marine
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Chorley
2–5
L
5 Sep
vs King's Lynn Town
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merthyr Town – last 6
LLDDWW
26 Sep
vs Marine
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Truro City
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Truro City
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Chester
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Macclesfield
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Darlington 1883 and Merthyr Town.
What is the prediction for Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
On our numbers Darlington 1883 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merthyr Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
Our predicted score is Darlington 1883 1–1 Merthyr Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blackwell Meadows.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
