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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Accrington ST v Salford City: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · The Crown Ground

Accrington ST

WDDDL
1–1
FTPens 5–4

Salford City

WWLWD
Accrington ST 22%Draw 21%Salford City 57% Expected goals 1.98 – 3.02
71%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Salford City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSalford City to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.50
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6% · fair 16.34

Accrington ST vs Salford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Accrington ST welcome Salford City to The Crown Ground for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Accrington ST are 3rd on 4 points after 3 matches; Salford City are 1st with 9.

Current form

Accrington ST, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cheltenham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Salford City, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fleetwood Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Salford City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Accrington ST.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 2.0 xG, Salford City 3.0 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 71% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 22%, draw 21%, Salford City 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Salford City to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–3 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Accrington ST22%fair 4.50 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Salford City57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
5.00Expected goals
1.98Accrington ST xG
3.02Salford City xG
71%Both score
88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–36%
1–26%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
2–45%

From our goals model: Accrington ST 2.0 – 3.0 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalford City to win ✗57%1.751.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.50 ▲
Draw no betSalford City (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapAccrington ST +2 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreSalford City to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultSalford City ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salford City / FT Salford City ✗39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6%16.34–

Recent results

Accrington ST – last 6

WDDDLW
3 Octvs Cheltenham2–0W
26 Sep@ Swindon Town1–1D
22 Sepvs Sunderland U213–3D
19 Sepvs Newport County0–0D
12 Sep@ Barnet1–2L
5 Sepvs Crawley Town3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Salford City – last 6

WWLWDW
3 Octvs Fleetwood Town1–0W
26 Sep@ Oldham4–1W
22 Sepvs Sheffield Wednesday1–2L
19 Sepvs Swindon Town1–0W
12 Sep@ Rotherham3–3D
5 Sepvs Port Vale1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Salford City.

Accrington ST vs Salford City head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City3300+69
2Stockport County320105
3Wolves U213102-33
4Wigan3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Liverpool U210 167%1.44X22%4.20211%5.00 3.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Salford City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Accrington ST vs Salford City?

On our numbers Accrington ST have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Salford City 57%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Salford City?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Salford City?

Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–3 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is Accrington ST vs Salford City?

Accrington ST vs Salford City (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Crown Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.