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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fleetwood Town v Barnsley: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood Town

LLLLW
4–1
FT

Barnsley

LDDLL
Fleetwood Town 22%Draw 21%Barnsley 57% Expected goals 1.53 – 2.47
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarnsley to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Fleetwood Town v Barnsley in the EFL Trophy, played at Highbury Stadium. In the table, Fleetwood Town are 2nd on 7 points after 3 matches; Barnsley are 2nd with 3.

Current form

Fleetwood Town, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Salford City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Barnsley, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Leeds United U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fleetwood Town 1.5 xG, Barnsley 2.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fleetwood Town 22%, draw 21%, Barnsley 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleetwood Town 1–2 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fleetwood Town22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.80
Barnsley57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
4.00Expected goals
1.53Fleetwood Town xG
2.47Barnsley xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–27%
0–26%
2–35%

From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.5 – 2.5 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnsley to win ✗57%1.751.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.53
Draw no betBarnsley (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapFleetwood Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreBarnsley to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultBarnsley ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnsley / FT Barnsley ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Fleetwood Town – last 6

LLLLWD
3 Oct@ Salford City0–1L
26 Sepvs Rochdale1–2L
22 Sep@ Oldham0–1L
19 Sep@ Barnet1–3L
16 Sepvs Sheffield Utd1–0W
12 Sep@ Newport County1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Barnsley – last 6

LDDLLW
22 Sepvs Leeds United U213–4L
19 Sepvs Leicester1–1D
15 Sep@ Peterborough3–3D
12 Sep@ Plymouth0–3L
5 Sepvs Stevenage1–5L
2 Sepvs Blackpool2–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fleetwood Town and Barnsley.

Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln3300+89
2Barnsley310203
3Manchester United U213102-43
4Notts County3102-43

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Doncaster1 Liverpool U210 167%1.44X22%4.20211%5.00 3.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barnsley 57%.

How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

Our predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1–2 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.