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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Port Vale v Mansfield Town: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Vale Park

Port Vale

DLWLL
2–0
FT

Mansfield Town

DDLLW
Port Vale 43%Draw 23%Mansfield Town 35% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.89
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1

Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPort Vale to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.00

Port Vale vs Mansfield Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Port Vale welcome Mansfield Town to Vale Park for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Port Vale are 1st on 7 points after 3 matches; Mansfield Town are 4th with 1.

Current form

Port Vale, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chesterfield, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Mansfield Town, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Burton Albion, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 2.1 xG, Mansfield Town 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 43%, draw 23%, Mansfield Town 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 2–1 Mansfield Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Port Vale43%fair 2.34 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Mansfield Town35%fair 2.89 · @2.40
4.00Expected goals
2.11Port Vale xG
1.89Mansfield Town xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Port Vale 2.1 – 1.9 Mansfield Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPort Vale to win ✓43%2.342.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.57
Draw no betPort Vale (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapMansfield Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scorePort Vale to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultPort Vale ahead at half-time ✓36%2.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✓27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.00–

Recent results

Port Vale – last 6

DLWLLD
22 Sep@ Chesterfield1–1D
19 Sep@ Walsall0–2L
12 Sepvs Exeter City1–0W
5 Sep@ Salford City0–1L
1 Sep@ Swindon Town1–3L
29 Augvs Crewe0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mansfield Town – last 6

DDLLWL
19 Sep@ Burton Albion2–2D
12 Sepvs Huddersfield0–0D
5 Sep@ Bradford0–1L
2 Sep@ Reading0–5L
30 Augvs Luton5–2W
22 Aug@ Peterborough1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Mansfield Town.

Port Vale vs Mansfield Town head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate Town3300+49
2Huddersfield3201+56
3Newcastle United U213102-62
4Mansfield Town3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Liverpool U210 167%1.44X22%4.20211%5.00 3.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?

On our numbers Port Vale have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mansfield Town 35%.

How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?

Our predicted score is Port Vale 2–1 Mansfield Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Port Vale vs Mansfield Town?

Port Vale vs Mansfield Town (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.