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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rotherham v Bradford: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · New York Stadium
0–4
FT
Rotherham 20%Draw 21%Bradford 60% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.97
80%
Betarazi pick

Bradford or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: Bradford to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBradford to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Rotherham vs Bradford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 6 October the EFL Trophy brings Rotherham against Bradford at New York Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Rotherham are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Bradford are 2nd with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rotherham, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Exeter City, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bradford, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Reading, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bradford, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Rotherham.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Bradford 1–0 Rotherham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.0 xG, Bradford 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 20%, draw 21%, Bradford 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bradford or draw (80%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Bradford to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bradford or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–1 Bradford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rotherham20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.20
Bradford60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
1.03Rotherham xG
1.97Bradford xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Rotherham 1.0 – 2.0 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBradford to win ✓60%1.681.95 ▲
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓80%1.251.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.67
Draw no betBradford (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapRotherham +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreBradford to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultBradford ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bradford / FT Bradford ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Rotherham – last 6

LDDWDL
3 Oct@ Exeter City0–1L
26 Sepvs Crewe1–1D
22 Sep@ York1–1D
19 Sep@ Northampton1–0W
12 Sepvs Salford City3–3D
5 Sep@ Bristol Rovers0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bradford – last 6

DWWWWW
3 Oct@ Reading1–1D
22 Sepvs Newcastle United U212–1W
19 Sep@ Luton1–0W
12 Sep@ Notts County1–0W
8 Sep@ Leyton Orient3–1W
5 Sepvs Mansfield Town1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Bradford v Rotherham1–0
Rotherham vs Bradford head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster3300+69
2Bradford3201+36
3Grimsby3102-23
4Everton U213003-70

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Bradford?

Our pick is Bradford or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Rotherham vs Bradford?

On our numbers Rotherham have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bradford 60%.

How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Bradford?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Bradford?

Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Rotherham vs Bradford?

Rotherham vs Bradford (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.