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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grimsby v Burton Albion: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Blundell Park

Grimsby

LLLWW
0–0
FTPens 2–4

Burton Albion

LWDDL
Grimsby 41%Draw 22%Burton Albion 38% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.47
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGrimsby to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Grimsby vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Grimsby v Burton Albion in the EFL Trophy, played at Blundell Park. In the table, Grimsby are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Burton Albion are 3rd with 3. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Grimsby, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shrewsbury, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Burton Albion, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Huddersfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.5 xG, Burton Albion 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 41%, draw 22%, Burton Albion 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grimsby41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Burton Albion38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.53Grimsby xG
1.47Burton Albion xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Grimsby 1.5 – 1.5 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrimsby to win ✗41%2.472.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.44
Draw no betGrimsby (draw no bet)52%1.93–
Asian handicapBurton Albion +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreGrimsby to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Grimsby – last 6

LLLWWD
3 Octvs Shrewsbury1–2L
26 Sep@ Newport County1–2L
22 Sep@ Notts County1–2L
19 Sepvs Crawley Town2–0W
12 Sepvs Bristol Rovers2–0W
5 Sep@ Cheltenham2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burton Albion – last 6

LWDDLD
3 Octvs Huddersfield1–3L
26 Sep@ Plymouth1–0W
22 Sepvs Nottingham Forest U211–1D
19 Sepvs Mansfield Town2–2D
12 Sep@ Oxford United0–3L
5 Sepvs Cambridge United2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Burton Albion.

Grimsby vs Burton Albion head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster3300+69
2Bradford3201+36
3Grimsby3102-23
4Everton U213003-70

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Liverpool U210 167%1.44X22%4.20211%5.00 3.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Burton Albion?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Grimsby vs Burton Albion?

On our numbers Grimsby have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burton Albion 38%.

How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Burton Albion?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Burton Albion?

Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Grimsby vs Burton Albion?

Grimsby vs Burton Albion (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.