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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crewe v Wigan: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Alexandra Stadium

Crewe

WDLLW
1–2
FT

Wigan

WDWLL
Crewe 41%Draw 22%Wigan 37% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.86
84%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCrewe to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.74

Crewe vs Wigan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 November the EFL Trophy brings Crewe against Wigan at Alexandra Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Crewe are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Wigan are 4th with 1.

Current form

Crewe, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Wimbledon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Wigan, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Boreham Wood, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Wigan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 2.0 xG, Wigan 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 41%, draw 22%, Wigan 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 Wigan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crewe41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Wigan37%fair 2.73 · @2.88
3.82Expected goals
1.97Crewe xG
1.86Wigan xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Crewe 2.0 – 1.9 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrewe to win ✗41%2.442.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.62
Draw no betCrewe (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapWigan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.551.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.791.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.17
First team to scoreCrewe to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓34%2.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crewe / FT Crewe ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.74–

Recent results

Crewe – last 6

WDLLWW
7 Novvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
31 Octvs Barnet1–1D
24 Oct@ Chesterfield1–5L
20 Oct@ Exeter City0–2L
17 Octvs Rochdale3–2W
10 Oct@ Swindon Town1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wigan – last 6

WDWLLL
7 Nov@ Boreham Wood3–0W
3 Novvs Mansfield Town0–0D
31 Octvs Bromley3–2W
27 Oct@ Leicester0–3L
24 Oct@ Huddersfield1–2L
20 Oct@ Oxford United1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Wigan.

Crewe vs Wigan head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City3300+69
2Stockport County320105
3Wolves U213102-33
4Wigan3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.7–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 133%2.45X19%3.90248%2.25 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 165%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00218%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2529%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage2 Fulham U212 Pens 4–3 165%1.33X20%5.00215%6.25 3.1–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Wigan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Crewe vs Wigan?

On our numbers Crewe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wigan 37%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Wigan?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Wigan?

Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Wigan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Crewe vs Wigan?

Crewe vs Wigan (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.