Burton Albion 33%Draw 19%Notts County 48%Expected goals 1.35 – 1.72
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Notts County to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNotts County to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Burton Albion vs Notts County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 10 November the EFL Trophy brings Burton Albion against Notts County at Pirelli Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Burton Albion are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Notts County are 4th with 3. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Burton Albion, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over AFC Rushden & Diamonds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Notts County, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Altrincham, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Notts County, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Burton Albion.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.4 xG, Notts County 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 33%, draw 19%, Notts County 48%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Notts County to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–1 Notts County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion33%fair 3.08 · @2.45
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.90
Notts County48%fair 2.07 · @2.25
3.07Expected goals
1.35Burton Albion xG
1.72Notts County xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.4 – 1.7 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Notts County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Notts County?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Notts County 48%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Notts County?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Notts County?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Notts County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Notts County?
Burton Albion vs Notts County (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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