Wednesday 11 November 2026 12 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oxford United v Cheltenham: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Kassam Stadium

Oxford United

LWDWD
4–0
FT

Cheltenham

WLWWL
Oxford United 69%Draw 20%Cheltenham 11% Expected goals 2.79 – 1.15
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOxford United to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceOxford United or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Oxford United vs Cheltenham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Tuesday 10 November: Oxford United v Cheltenham in the EFL Trophy, played at Kassam Stadium.

Current form

Oxford United, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stevenage, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cheltenham, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Halifax Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oxford United 2.8 xG, Cheltenham 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oxford United 69%, draw 20%, Cheltenham 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oxford United 2–1 Cheltenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oxford United69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @6.00
Cheltenham11%fair 9.22 · @8.50
3.94Expected goals
2.79Oxford United xG
1.15Cheltenham xG
61%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%

From our goals model: Oxford United 2.8 – 1.2 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✓69%1.451.22
Double chanceOxford United or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.80 ▲
Draw no betOxford United (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapOxford United -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.901.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
First team to scoreOxford United to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultOxford United ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Oxford United – last 6

LWDWDW
7 Novvs Stevenage0–1L
4 Novvs Reading2–0W
31 Oct@ Barnsley1–1D
27 Octvs Stockport County1–0W
24 Octvs Bradford0–0D
20 Octvs Wigan2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cheltenham – last 6

WLWWLD
7 Novvs FC Halifax Town2–0W
31 Oct@ Tranmere1–3L
24 Octvs Newport County1–0W
20 Octvs Fleetwood Town4–2W
17 Oct@ Oldham1–4L
13 Octvs Tottenham Hotspur U212–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oxford United and Cheltenham.

Oxford United vs Cheltenham head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers3300+28
2Plymouth3201+56
3Cheltenham3102-32
4Tottenham Hotspur U213003-42

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Crewe1 Wigan2 141%2.20X22%3.25237%2.88 2.0–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.7–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 133%2.45X19%3.90248%2.25 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 165%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00218%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2529%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage2 Fulham U212 Pens 4–3 165%1.33X20%5.00215%6.25 3.1–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Cheltenham?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Oxford United vs Cheltenham?

On our numbers Oxford United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cheltenham 11%.

How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Cheltenham?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oxford United vs Cheltenham?

Our predicted score is Oxford United 2–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Oxford United vs Cheltenham?

Oxford United vs Cheltenham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.