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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grimsby v Nottingham Forest U21: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Blundell Park

Grimsby

DWWDL
0–3
FT

Nottingham Forest U21

DWWLL
Grimsby 65%Draw 15%Nottingham Forest U21 20% Expected goals 2.36 – 1.21
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Grimsby to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGrimsby to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 November the EFL Trophy brings Grimsby against Nottingham Forest U21 at Blundell Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Grimsby are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Nottingham Forest U21 are 4th with 1. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Grimsby, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stafford Rangers, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Nottingham Forest U21, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leicester City U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 2.4 xG, Nottingham Forest U21 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 65%, draw 15%, Nottingham Forest U21 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Grimsby to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 2–1 Nottingham Forest U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grimsby65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.90
Nottingham Forest U2120%fair 4.99 · @3.60
3.57Expected goals
2.36Grimsby xG
1.21Nottingham Forest U21 xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Grimsby 2.4 – 1.2 Nottingham Forest U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrimsby to win ✗65%1.551.73 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.40
Draw no betGrimsby (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapGrimsby -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.361.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.811.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.581.67 ▲
First team to scoreGrimsby to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultGrimsby ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Grimsby – last 6

DWWDLL
7 Nov@ Stafford Rangers2–2D
31 Octvs York5–2W
24 Oct@ Gillingham4–1W
20 Oct@ Rochdale2–2D
17 Octvs Northampton0–2L
10 Oct@ Port Vale0–1L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nottingham Forest U21 – last 6

DWWLLW
6 Novvs Leicester City U212–2D
3 Nov@ FC Halifax Town4–3W
30 Oct@ Luton Town U213–2W
24 Oct@ Reading U211–2L
20 Oct@ Wealdstone0–1L
16 Octvs Manchester United U213–2W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Nottingham Forest U21.

Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere3300+28
2Blackpool3201+56
3Barrow3102-43
4Nottingham Forest U213003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Crewe1 Wigan2 141%2.20X22%3.25237%2.88 2.0–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.7–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 133%2.45X19%3.90248%2.25 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00218%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2529%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage2 Fulham U212 Pens 4–3 165%1.33X20%5.00215%6.25 3.1–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21?

On our numbers Grimsby have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Nottingham Forest U21 20%.

How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Our predicted score is Grimsby 2–1 Nottingham Forest U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.