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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mansfield Town v Chesterfield: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Field Mill

Mansfield Town

WDLWW
3–5
FT

Chesterfield

WLWDL
Mansfield Town 42%Draw 18%Chesterfield 40% Expected goals 1.99 – 1.92
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMansfield Town to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.14

Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 November the EFL Trophy brings Mansfield Town against Chesterfield at Field Mill. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mansfield Town are 4th on 1 points after 3 matches; Chesterfield are 2nd with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mansfield Town, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Macclesfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chesterfield, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Yeovil Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Mansfield Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Chesterfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mansfield Town 2.0 xG, Chesterfield 1.9 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mansfield Town 42%, draw 18%, Chesterfield 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mansfield Town 2–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mansfield Town42%fair 2.37 · @2.05
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.00
Chesterfield40%fair 2.53 · @2.62
3.91Expected goals
1.99Mansfield Town xG
1.92Chesterfield xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Mansfield Town 2.0 – 1.9 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMansfield Town to win ✗42%2.372.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.461.44
Draw no betMansfield Town (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapChesterfield +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%1.981.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.28
First team to scoreMansfield Town to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultMansfield Town ahead at half-time ✓34%2.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town ✗25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.14–

Recent results

Mansfield Town – last 6

WDLWWD
7 Novvs Macclesfield3–0W
3 Nov@ Wigan0–0D
31 Octvs Notts County0–2L
24 Oct@ Blackpool4–1W
20 Oct@ AFC Wimbledon3–0W
15 Octvs Oxford United1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chesterfield – last 6

WLWDLD
7 Novvs Yeovil Town4–3W
30 Oct@ Newport County1–4L
24 Octvs Crewe5–1W
20 Octvs Colchester1–1D
17 Oct@ Port Vale0–1L
10 Oct@ Crawley Town2–2D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and Chesterfield.

Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate Town3300+49
2Huddersfield3201+56
3Newcastle United U213102-62
4Mansfield Town3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Crewe1 Wigan2 141%2.20X22%3.25237%2.88 2.0–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.7–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 133%2.45X19%3.90248%2.25 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 165%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00218%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2529%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage2 Fulham U212 Pens 4–3 165%1.33X20%5.00215%6.25 3.1–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?

On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chesterfield 40%.

How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?

Our predicted score is Mansfield Town 2–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?

Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Field Mill.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.