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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caldas v Academica: numbers & prediction

2–2
FTPens
Caldas 32%Draw 24%Academica 44% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.64
53%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultAcademica to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 26.25

Caldas vs Academica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Academica travel to face Caldas on Saturday 1 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Caldas, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lusitano Évora 1911, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Academica, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with União Santarém, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 6. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.3 xG, Academica 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 32%, draw 24%, Academica 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–2 Academica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caldas32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Academica44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
2.95Expected goals
1.32Caldas xG
1.64Academica xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Caldas 1.3 – 1.6 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CaldasAcademica
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+1%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+7%
Our expected goals here1.371.76

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademica to win ✗44%2.262.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betAcademica (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapCaldas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreAcademica to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academica / FT Academica ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4%26.25–

Recent results

Caldas – last 3

DLW
22 Marvs Lusitano Évora 19111–1D
22 Feb@ SC Covilha0–1L
15 Febvs 1º Dezembro2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Academica – last 6

DWLLLD
31 Jul@ União Santarém0–0D
25 Jul@ FC Porto B3–1W
22 Jul@ Tondela1–2L
18 Jul@ Guimaraes0–2L
15 Jul@ Torreense0–5L
26 Apr@ União Santarém1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Academica.

Caldas vs Academica head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caldas vs Academica?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Caldas vs Academica?

On our numbers Caldas have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Academica 44%.

How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Academica?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Academica?

Our predicted score is Caldas 1–2 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Caldas vs Academica?

Caldas vs Academica (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.