Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 26.25
Caldas vs Academica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Academica travel to face Caldas on Saturday 1 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Caldas, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lusitano Évora 1911, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Academica, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with União Santarém, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 6. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.3 xG, Academica 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 32%, draw 24%, Academica 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–2 Academica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldas32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Academica44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
2.95Expected goals
1.32Caldas xG
1.64Academica xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.3 – 1.6 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Caldas
Academica
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+1%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.76
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win✗
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Academica (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Caldas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Academica to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
4%
26.25
–
Recent results
Caldas – last 3
DLW
22 Mar
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ SC Covilha
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs 1º Dezembro
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Academica – last 6
DWLLLD
31 Jul
@ União Santarém
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ FC Porto B
3–1
W
22 Jul
@ Tondela
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Guimaraes
0–2
L
15 Jul
@ Torreense
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Academica.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Caldas vs Academica?
On our numbers Caldas have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Academica 44%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Academica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Academica?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–2 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Academica?
Caldas vs Academica (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.