The New Saints 62%Draw 21%Flora Tallinn 17%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.70
83%
Betarazi pick
The New Saints or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: The New Saints to win @ 1.78 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓62% · @1.78
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flora Tallinn travel to face The New Saints on Thursday 30 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Park Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.
Current form
The New Saints, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flora Tallinn, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Flora Tallinn, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over The New Saints, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Flora Tallinn, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for The New Saints.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New Saints.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 1.7 xG, Flora Tallinn 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 62%, draw 21%, Flora Tallinn 17%.
Lower-risk option: The New Saints or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: The New Saints to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was The New Saints or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 1–0 Flora Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The New Saints62%fair 1.61 · @1.78
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Flora Tallinn17%fair 6.01 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.71The New Saints xG
0.70Flora Tallinn xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: The New Saints 1.7 – 0.7 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is The New Saints or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flora Tallinn 17%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 1–0 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?
The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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