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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hibernian v Malisheva: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Easter Road

Hibernian

LWWLW
4–1
FT

Malisheva

WWLWL
Hibernian 63%Draw 19%Malisheva 18% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.11
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHibernian to win ✓63% · @1.20
Double chanceHibernian or draw ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Hibernian vs Malisheva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 30 July: Hibernian v Malisheva in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Easter Road.

Current form

Hibernian, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Malisheva, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Malisheva, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hibernian, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Momentum favours Malisheva, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Hibernian.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Malisheva 2–0 Hibernian.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hibernian 1.9 xG, Malisheva 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernian 63%, draw 19%, Malisheva 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernian 1–1 Malisheva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hibernian63%fair 1.60 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @6.40
Malisheva18%fair 5.55 · @10.25
3.01Expected goals
1.90Hibernian xG
1.11Malisheva xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Hibernian 1.9 – 1.1 Malisheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHibernian to win ✓63%1.601.20
Double chanceHibernian or draw ✓82%1.22–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.93 ▲
Draw no betHibernian (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapMalisheva +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.651.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.25
First team to scoreHibernian to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultHibernian ahead at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hibernian / FT Hibernian ✓35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Hibernian – last 6

LWWLWL
23 Jul@ Malisheva0–2L
18 Julvs Brondby2–1W
4 Jul@ Cliftonville FC5–1W
30 Jun@ Shamrock Rovers0–1L
13 May@ Rangers2–1W
3 Mayvs Celtic1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Malisheva – last 6

WWLWLW
23 Julvs Hibernian2–0W
15 Julvs Vllaznia Shkodër5–0W
9 Jul@ Vllaznia Shkodër1–2L
31 Mayvs Drita3–2W
24 May@ Llapi2–3L
17 Mayvs Drenica Skënderaj4–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Malisheva v Hibernian2–0
Hibernian vs Malisheva head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Auda4 FCSB1 128%4.55X23%3.85249%1.64 1.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 NK Varazdin0 151%1.64X27%3.85222%4.55 1.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 159%1.29X22%4.90219%9.10 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X21%3.85219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Malisheva?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Hibernian vs Malisheva?

On our numbers Hibernian have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Malisheva 18%.

How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Malisheva?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Malisheva?

Our predicted score is Hibernian 1–1 Malisheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Hibernian vs Malisheva?

Hibernian vs Malisheva (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.