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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rīgas FS v Vestri: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Lnk Sporta Parks
4–1
FT

Vestri

LLLLD
Rīgas FS 81%Draw 13%Vestri 6% Expected goals 2.73 – 0.63
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✓81% · @1.05
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49

Rīgas FS vs Vestri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Rīgas FS against Vestri at Lnk Sporta Parks. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FS Jelgava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Vestri, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to HK Kopavogur, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Vestri.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.7 xG, Vestri 0.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 81%, draw 13%, Vestri 6%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 3–0 Vestri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rīgas FS81%fair 1.24 · @1.05
Draw13%fair 7.69 · @9.40
Vestri6%fair 15.95 · @34.00
3.36Expected goals
2.73Rīgas FS xG
0.63Vestri xG
47%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
3–012%
1–09%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.7 – 0.6 Vestri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✓81%1.241.05
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓94%1.07–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.891.40
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapRīgas FS -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.05
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.971.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗68%1.481.55
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first ✓78%1.28–
Half-time resultRīgas FS ahead at half-time ✓60%1.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✓57%1.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12%8.49–

Recent results

Rīgas FS – last 6

WWWWDW
20 Jul@ FS Jelgava1–0W
16 Julvs Glentoran2–0W
12 Julvs FS Jelgava2–0W
9 Jul@ Glentoran2–1W
4 Julvs Auda1–1D
30 Junvs BFC Daugavpils3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vestri – last 6

LLLLDD
20 Jul@ HK Kopavogur2–6L
16 Julvs Qarabag0–3L
13 Julvs Fylkir2–5L
9 Jul@ Qarabag0–3L
4 Jul@ Grindavik0–0D
27 Jun@ Throttur Reykjavik1–1D
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS and Vestri.

Rīgas FS vs Vestri head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Vestri 6%.

How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Vestri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

Rīgas FS vs Vestri (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lnk Sporta Parks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.