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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shelbourne v Kalju Nomme: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Tolka Park

Shelbourne

DDWDL
5–2
FT

Kalju Nomme

DDWWD
Shelbourne 53%Draw 22%Kalju Nomme 25% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.31
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultShelbourne to win ✓53% · @1.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shelbourne welcome Kalju Nomme to Tolka Park for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 23 July (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Shelbourne, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Kalju Nomme, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kuressaare, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kalju Nomme, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Shelbourne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.4 xG, Kalju Nomme 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 53%, draw 22%, Kalju Nomme 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shelbourne53%fair 1.90 · @1.34
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.20
Kalju Nomme25%fair 3.99 · @9.60
2.76Expected goals
1.45Shelbourne xG
1.31Kalju Nomme xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.4 – 1.3 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShelbourne to win ✓53%1.901.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.20 ▲
Draw no betShelbourne (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapKalju Nomme +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
First team to scoreShelbourne to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne ✓24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Shelbourne – last 6

DDWDLD
17 Jul@ Kerry2–2D
7 Julvs Celtic1–1D
3 Julvs Dundalk2–1W
27 Jun@ Sligo Rovers2–2D
22 Junvs Bohemians0–3L
19 Jun@ Drogheda United2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kalju Nomme – last 6

DDWWDD
19 Jul@ Kuressaare0–0D
16 Jul@ Linfield2–2D
9 Julvs Linfield1–0W
3 Jul@ Nõmme United3–1W
28 Junvs Paide1–1D
20 Jun@ FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme.

Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 164%1.36X21%4.45215%7.70 2.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn1 The New Saints0 129%2.26X34%3.50238%2.78 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 149%1.78X25%3.40226%4.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 121%3.95X24%3.30255%1.88 1.0–1.7xG X2Apollon Limassol or draw 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?

On our numbers Shelbourne have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kalju Nomme 25%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?

Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?

Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.