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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stjarnan v Ilves: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stjörnuvöllur

Stjarnan

LDWDW
1–0
FT

Ilves

WWDLL
Stjarnan 31%Draw 22%Ilves 47% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.84
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win ✗47% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Stjarnan vs Ilves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ilves travel to face Stjarnan on Thursday 23 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Stjörnuvöllur the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Stjarnan, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to KR Reykjavik, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Ilves, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Turku PS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 1.4 xG, Ilves 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 31%, draw 22%, Ilves 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 1–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stjarnan31%fair 3.20 · @2.72
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.80
Ilves47%fair 2.14 · @2.18
3.19Expected goals
1.35Stjarnan xG
1.84Ilves xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Stjarnan 1.4 – 1.8 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✗47%2.142.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.40
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapStjarnan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.211.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.711.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreIlves to score first ✗55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Stjarnan – last 6

LDWDWL
19 Jul@ KR Reykjavik0–5L
16 Jul@ Vikingur Gota2–2D
9 Julvs Vikingur Gota3–1W
3 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur2–2D
28 Junvs KA Akureyri3–1W
21 Jun@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ilves – last 6

WWDLLD
20 Jul@ Turku PS3–1W
16 Julvs FC Differdange 033–1W
8 Jul@ FC Differdange 030–0D
4 Jul@ FF Jaro1–2L
1 Jul@ HJK Helsinki1–2L
27 Junvs SJK2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and Ilves.

Stjarnan vs Ilves head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Malisheva2 Hibernian0 124%5.60X25%4.00251%1.51 1.4–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja0 Austria Vienna2 116%8.00X23%4.20261%1.37 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 CFR 1907 Cluj1 131%3.65X36%3.20233%1.98 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Panevėžys1 FK Tobol Kostanay1 130%3.30X36%3.25234%2.10 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 164%1.36X21%4.45215%7.70 2.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn1 The New Saints0 129%2.26X34%3.50238%2.78 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 149%1.78X25%3.40226%4.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 121%3.95X24%3.30255%1.88 1.0–1.7xG X2Apollon Limassol or draw 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Ilves?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Stjarnan vs Ilves?

On our numbers Stjarnan have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ilves 47%.

How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Ilves?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Ilves?

Our predicted score is Stjarnan 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Stjarnan vs Ilves?

Stjarnan vs Ilves (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stjörnuvöllur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.