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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dinamo Minsk v Neftchi Baku: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Beroe Stadium

Dinamo Minsk

WWLWD
0–1
FT

Neftchi Baku

LWWWW
Dinamo Minsk 37%Draw 26%Neftchi Baku 37% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.45
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Dinamo Minsk to win @ 2.85 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDinamo Minsk to win ✗37% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76

Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 30 July: Dinamo Minsk v Neftchi Baku in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Beroe Stadium.

Current form

Dinamo Minsk, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Neftchi Baku, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Neftchi Baku, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Neftchi Baku 2–4 Dinamo Minsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Minsk 1.5 xG, Neftchi Baku 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Minsk 37%, draw 26%, Neftchi Baku 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Dinamo Minsk to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Minsk 1–1 Neftchi Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dinamo Minsk37%fair 2.68 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.35
Neftchi Baku37%fair 2.69 · @2.28
2.94Expected goals
1.49Dinamo Minsk xG
1.45Neftchi Baku xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Dinamo Minsk 1.5 – 1.4 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDinamo Minsk to win ✗37%2.682.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.73
Draw no betDinamo Minsk (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapNeftchi Baku +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreDinamo Minsk to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dinamo Minsk / FT Dinamo Minsk ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.76–

Recent results

Dinamo Minsk – last 6

WWLWDW
22 Jul@ Neftchi Baku4–2W
16 Jul@ Sileks1–0W
9 Julvs Sileks0–1L
2 Jul@ FC Minsk3–0W
27 Junvs FC Vitebsk1–1D
21 Jun@ Neman3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Neftchi Baku – last 6

LWWWWW
22 Julvs Dinamo Minsk2–4L
10 Jul@ Radnicki NIS3–0W
6 Julvs FK Partizan1–0W
23 May@ Kapaz1–0W
17 May@ Sabah FA2–1W
5 May@ Karvan3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Neftchi Baku v Dinamo Minsk2–4
Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Auda4 FCSB1 128%4.55X23%3.85249%1.64 1.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
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FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 159%1.29X22%4.90219%9.10 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X21%3.85219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?

On our numbers Dinamo Minsk have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Neftchi Baku 37%.

How many goals will there be in Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?

Our predicted score is Dinamo Minsk 1–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?

Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Beroe Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.