Ashton United vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ashton United welcome Lancaster City for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ashton United are 18th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Lancaster City are 14th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Ashton United, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stalybridge Celtic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lancaster City, last 4: DDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Preston North End U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ashton United 1.2 xG, Lancaster City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ashton United 41%, draw 28%, Lancaster City 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ashton United 1–1 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ashton United41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.90
Lancaster City31%fair 3.21 · @2.70
2.20Expected goals
1.24Ashton United xG
0.97Lancaster City xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ashton United 1.2 – 1.0 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ashton United
Lancaster City
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
-26%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.91
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ashton United to win✓
41%
2.45
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Ashton United (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Lancaster City +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ashton United to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ashton United / FT Ashton United✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Ashton United – last 6
LLLWWL
1 Aug
vs Stalybridge Celtic
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Buxton
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hyde United
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Rushall Olympic
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Stockton Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 4
DDWL
21 Jul
vs Preston North End U21
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Bamber Bridge
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Morpeth Town
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Hednesford Town
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashton United and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Ashton United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lancaster City 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Ashton United 1–1 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ashton United vs Lancaster City?
Ashton United vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
