Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓50% · @1.91
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Gainsborough Trinity v Workington in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Gainsborough Trinity are 8th, upper half, on 29 points after 17 matches; Workington are 6th (upper half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bradford (Park Avenue), at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Workington, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barrow, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gainsborough Trinity 1.9 xG, Workington 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gainsborough Trinity 50%, draw 26%, Workington 24%.
Lower-risk option: Gainsborough Trinity or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gainsborough Trinity or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gainsborough Trinity 1–1 Workington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gainsborough Trinity50%fair 1.99 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.20
Workington24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
3.23Expected goals
1.87Gainsborough Trinity xG
1.36Workington xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gainsborough Trinity 1.9 – 1.4 Workington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gainsborough Trinity
Workington
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+12%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.78
1.45
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gainsborough Trinity to win✓
50%
1.99
1.91
Double chance
Gainsborough Trinity or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Gainsborough Trinity (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Workington +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Gainsborough Trinity to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Gainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Gainsborough Trinity – last 6
LDLDWL
1 Aug
vs Bradford (Park Avenue)
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Doncaster
0–0
D
21 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
18 Jul
@ Basford United
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Guiseley AFC
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Stockton Town
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Workington – last 3
LDW
11 Jul
@ Barrow
0–2
L
6 Apr
vs Cleethorpes Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Morpeth Town
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gainsborough Trinity and Workington.
What is the prediction for Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?
Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?
On our numbers Gainsborough Trinity have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Workington 24%.
How many goals will there be in Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?
Our predicted score is Gainsborough Trinity 1–1 Workington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?
Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
