Curzon Ashton 56%Draw 25%Alfreton Town 19%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.89
81%
Betarazi pick
Curzon Ashton or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCurzon Ashton to win ✓56% · @1.80
Double chanceCurzon Ashton or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.77
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 8 August the Non League Premier Northern brings Curzon Ashton against Alfreton Town at Tameside Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Curzon Ashton are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Alfreton Town are 11th (upper half) with 23. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Curzon Ashton, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Halifax Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Alfreton Town, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Mansfield Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Curzon Ashton 1.7 xG, Alfreton Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Curzon Ashton 56%, draw 25%, Alfreton Town 19%.
Lower-risk option: Curzon Ashton or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Curzon Ashton or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curzon Ashton 1–0 Alfreton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Curzon Ashton56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Alfreton Town19%fair 5.31 · @3.70
2.63Expected goals
1.74Curzon Ashton xG
0.89Alfreton Town xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Curzon Ashton 1.7 – 0.9 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+5%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.82
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Curzon Ashton to win✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Double chance
Curzon Ashton or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Curzon Ashton (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Alfreton Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Curzon Ashton to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curzon Ashton / FT Curzon Ashton✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
15.77
–
Recent results
Curzon Ashton – last 6
LLDLDL
1 Aug
vs FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Southport
1–3
L
3 Apr
@ Radcliffe
3–3
D
17 Mar
@ Spennymoor Town
1–4
L
10 Mar
vs Oxford City
2–2
D
24 Feb
vs Darlington 1883
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 6
LLLLDL
28 Jul
vs Mansfield Town
0–4
L
21 Jul
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Derby
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Boston United
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Burton Albion
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Notts County
0–5
L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Curzon Ashton or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Curzon Ashton have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alfreton Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Curzon Ashton 1–0 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tameside Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
