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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilkeston Town v Stockton Town: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Ilkeston Town 33%Draw 26%Stockton Town 41% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.49
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Stockton Town to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultStockton Town to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ilkeston Town welcome Stockton Town for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ilkeston Town are 20th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Stockton Town are 16th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Ilkeston Town, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Basford United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Stockton Town, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hednesford Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stockton Town, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Ilkeston Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilkeston Town 1.2 xG, Stockton Town 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilkeston Town 33%, draw 26%, Stockton Town 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Stockton Town to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilkeston Town 1–1 Stockton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilkeston Town33%fair 3.04 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.10
Stockton Town41%fair 2.41 · @2.62
2.65Expected goals
1.15Ilkeston Town xG
1.49Stockton Town xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ilkeston Town 1.2 – 1.5 Stockton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average-41%-6%
Goals conceded vs average+19%+3%
Our expected goals here1.041.61

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStockton Town to win ✗41%2.412.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.70
Draw no betStockton Town (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapIlkeston Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreStockton Town to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stockton Town / FT Stockton Town ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Ilkeston Town – last 4

WLLL
28 Julvs Basford United4–1W
11 Jul@ Worksop Town1–3L
6 Apr@ Rushall Olympic0–2L
21 Feb@ Rylands1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Stockton Town – last 5

LDLWW
28 Apr@ Hednesford Town0–2L
21 Apr@ United of Manchester1–1D
6 Apr@ Hebburn Town0–1L
3 Aprvs Gainsborough Trinity1–0W
21 Feb@ Ashton United2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ilkeston Town and Stockton Town.

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

On our numbers Ilkeston Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stockton Town 41%.

How many goals will there be in Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Our predicted score is Ilkeston Town 1–1 Stockton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.