Leek Town 60%Draw 22%Whitby Town 17%Expected goals 3.24 – 1.83
83%
Betarazi pick
Leek Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 67% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeek Town to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceLeek Town or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.75
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 15.31
Leek Town vs Whitby Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Leek Town v Whitby Town in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Leek Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Whitby Town are 15th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leek Town, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Runcorn Linnets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Whitby Town, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bridlington Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leek Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Whitby Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 3.2 xG, Whitby Town 1.8 xG – a total near 5.1. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 60%, draw 22%, Whitby Town 17%.
Lower-risk option: Leek Town or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leek Town or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 3–1 Whitby Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leek Town60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Whitby Town17%fair 5.77 · @3.90
5.06Expected goals
3.24Leek Town xG
1.83Whitby Town xG
67%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–16%
3–26%
2–26%
4–15%
4–25%
From our goals model: Leek Town 3.2 – 1.8 Whitby Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leek Town
Whitby Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+23%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+38%
+58%
Our expected goals here
3.32
1.74
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leek Town to win✗
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Leek Town or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Leek Town (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Leek Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
First team to score
Leek Town to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Leek Town ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
15.31
–
Recent results
Leek Town – last 6
DDWWLD
31 Jul
vs Runcorn Linnets
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Macclesfield
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Stocksbridge Park Steels
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Bamber Bridge
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Gainsborough Trinity
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Hebburn Town
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Whitby Town – last 6
DLLLWD
10 Jul
@ Bridlington Town
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Morpeth Town
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs United of Manchester
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs Ashton United
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Cleethorpes Town
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bamber Bridge
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Whitby Town.
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Whitby Town?
Our pick is Leek Town or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leek Town vs Whitby Town?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Whitby Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Whitby Town?
We expect about 5.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs Whitby Town?
Our predicted score is Leek Town 3–1 Whitby Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.1 goals in total.
When is Leek Town vs Whitby Town?
Leek Town vs Whitby Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
