Cleethorpes Town 61%Draw 21%Alfreton Town 18%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.85
82%
Betarazi pick
Cleethorpes Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cleethorpes Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCleethorpes Town to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceCleethorpes Town or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.26
Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alfreton Town travel to face Cleethorpes Town on Tuesday 18 August in the Non League Premier Northern – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cleethorpes Town are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 17 matches; Alfreton Town are 11th (upper half) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cleethorpes Town, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Warrington Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alfreton Town, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Avro, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cleethorpes Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Alfreton Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cleethorpes Town 1.8 xG, Alfreton Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cleethorpes Town 61%, draw 21%, Alfreton Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Cleethorpes Town or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Cleethorpes Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cleethorpes Town or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Alfreton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cleethorpes Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.20
Alfreton Town18%fair 5.51 · @3.30
2.67Expected goals
1.82Cleethorpes Town xG
0.85Alfreton Town xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cleethorpes Town 1.8 – 0.9 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cleethorpes Town to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Cleethorpes Town or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
Cleethorpes Town (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Cleethorpes Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Cleethorpes Town to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Cleethorpes Town ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cleethorpes Town / FT Cleethorpes Town✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Cleethorpes Town – last 6
DWWLDD
15 Aug
@ Warrington Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ Quorn
5–0
W
8 Aug
vs Bamber Bridge
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Workington
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 6
WWLLLL
15 Aug
vs Avro
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Gainsborough Trinity
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Curzon Ashton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Mansfield Town
0–4
L
21 Jul
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Derby
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cleethorpes Town and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Cleethorpes Town or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Cleethorpes Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfreton Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Cleethorpes Town 1–0 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town?
Cleethorpes Town vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
