Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 18 August: Gainsborough Trinity v Stockton Town in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Gainsborough Trinity are 8th, upper half, on 29 points after 17 matches; Stockton Town are 16th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over United of Manchester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Stockton Town, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leek Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gainsborough Trinity, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Stockton Town.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Stockton Town 1–0 Gainsborough Trinity.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gainsborough Trinity 1.4 xG, Stockton Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gainsborough Trinity 50%, draw 21%, Stockton Town 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Stockton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gainsborough Trinity50%fair 1.98 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Stockton Town28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
2.26Expected goals
1.35Gainsborough Trinity xG
0.90Stockton Town xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Gainsborough Trinity 1.4 – 0.9 Stockton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gainsborough Trinity to win✓
50%
1.98
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Gainsborough Trinity (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Stockton Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Gainsborough Trinity to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✓
What is the prediction for Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?
On our numbers Gainsborough Trinity have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stockton Town 28%.
How many goals will there be in Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?
Our predicted score is Gainsborough Trinity 1–0 Stockton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?
Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
