Guiseley AFC vs Bury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 18 August the Non League Premier Northern brings Guiseley AFC against Bury. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Guiseley AFC are 4th, among the top four, on 33 points after 16 matches; Bury are 7th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Guiseley AFC, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Workington, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Bury, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rylands, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guiseley AFC 1.1 xG, Bury 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guiseley AFC 33%, draw 22%, Bury 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guiseley AFC 1–1 Bury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guiseley AFC33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Bury45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.12Guiseley AFC xG
1.38Bury xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 1.1 – 1.4 Bury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury to win✗
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Bury (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Guiseley AFC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Bury to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury / FT Bury✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Guiseley AFC – last 6
DWLDWW
15 Aug
@ Workington
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Whitby Town
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Warrington Town
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Barnsley
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Pontefract Collieries
3–1
W
24 Jul
vs Blackburn Rovers U21
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bury – last 6
WWDWLW
15 Aug
vs Rylands
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Curzon Ashton
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Redcar Athletic
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Radcliffe
3–1
W
28 Jul
@ Accrington ST
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Chorley
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Bury.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Bury?
On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bury 45%.
How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Bury?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Bury?
Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 1–1 Bury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guiseley AFC vs Bury?
Guiseley AFC vs Bury (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
