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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Redcar Athletic v Lancaster City: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Redcar Athletic 63%Draw 24%Lancaster City 13% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.49
87%
Betarazi pick

Redcar Athletic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultRedcar Athletic to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceRedcar Athletic or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.90

Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lancaster City travel to face Redcar Athletic on Tuesday 18 August in the Non League Premier Northern – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Redcar Athletic are 1st, leading the league, on 38 points after 18 matches; Lancaster City are 14th (lower half) with 21. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Redcar Athletic, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Quorn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lancaster City, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hyde United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Redcar Athletic, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Lancaster City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Redcar Athletic 1.5 xG, Lancaster City 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Redcar Athletic 63%, draw 24%, Lancaster City 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Redcar Athletic or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Redcar Athletic or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Redcar Athletic 1–0 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Redcar Athletic63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Lancaster City13%fair 7.90 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.51Redcar Athletic xG
0.49Lancaster City xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Redcar Athletic 1.5 – 0.5 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRedcar Athletic to win ✓63%1.581.67 ▲
Double chanceRedcar Athletic or draw ✓87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.901.85
Draw no betRedcar Athletic (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapRedcar Athletic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreRedcar Athletic to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Redcar Athletic / FT Redcar Athletic ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.90–

Recent results

Redcar Athletic – last 6

DWDWLW
15 Aug@ Quorn1–1D
11 Aug@ Workington1–0W
8 Augvs Bury0–0D
21 Julvs Dunston UTS1–0W
14 Julvs Hartlepool2–4L
6 Aprvs Bridlington Town2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lancaster City – last 6

LWLDDW
15 Augvs Hyde United1–2L
11 Augvs Rylands1–0W
8 Aug@ Ashton United1–4L
21 Julvs Preston North End U212–2D
6 Apr@ Bamber Bridge1–1D
3 Aprvs Morpeth Town3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Redcar Athletic and Lancaster City.

Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?

Our pick is Redcar Athletic or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?

On our numbers Redcar Athletic have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lancaster City 13%.

How many goals will there be in Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?

Our predicted score is Redcar Athletic 1–0 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City?

Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.