Leek Town 61%Draw 18%AFC Emley 21%Expected goals 1.68 – 0.82
61%
Betarazi pick
Leek Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeek Town to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.26
Leek Town vs AFC Emley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leek Town welcome AFC Emley for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Leek Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; AFC Emley are 12th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Leek Town, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stockton Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
AFC Emley, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Curzon Ashton, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 1.7 xG, AFC Emley 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 61%, draw 18%, AFC Emley 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leek Town to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 1–0 AFC Emley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leek Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.70
AFC Emley21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
2.50Expected goals
1.68Leek Town xG
0.82AFC Emley xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leek Town 1.7 – 0.8 AFC Emley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leek Town to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Leek Town (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
AFC Emley +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Leek Town to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.26
–
Recent results
Leek Town – last 6
DDLDDW
15 Aug
@ Stockton Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ United of Manchester
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Whitby Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Runcorn Linnets
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Macclesfield
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Stocksbridge Park Steels
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AFC Emley – last 5
WLDDL
14 Aug
vs Curzon Ashton
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Ilkeston Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Hyde United
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Ossett United
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and AFC Emley.
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
Our pick is Leek Town to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AFC Emley 21%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
Our predicted score is Leek Town 1–0 AFC Emley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Leek Town vs AFC Emley?
Leek Town vs AFC Emley (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
