Zira vs Safa Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zira welcome Safa Baku to Zira Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Sunday 16 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Safa Baku are 11th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zira, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Paide, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Safa Baku, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zaqatala, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 2.0 xG, Safa Baku 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 63%, draw 23%, Safa Baku 13%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (87%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 2–0 Safa Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.85
Safa Baku13%fair 7.41 · @4.50
2.77Expected goals
1.96Zira xG
0.81Safa Baku xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Zira 2.0 – 0.8 Safa Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Zira -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Zira to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Zira ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Zira – last 6
DLWWLW
30 Jul
vs Paide
1–1
D
23 Jul
@ Paide
0–1
L
16 Jul
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
3–0
W
8 Jul
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
3–0
W
23 May
@ Araz
2–3
L
17 May
vs Sumqayıt
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Safa Baku – last 6
LDDWDW
22 May
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
6 May
@ Difai Ağsu
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Şimal
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs MOIK
3–0
W
16 Apr
@ Baku Sportinq
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Səbail
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Safa Baku.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zira vs Safa Baku?
On our numbers Zira have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Safa Baku 13%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Safa Baku?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Safa Baku?
Our predicted score is Zira 2–0 Safa Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Safa Baku?
Zira vs Safa Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
