Avellino v Arezzo Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.25

Double chanceAvellino or draw ✗81% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70

Avellino vs Arezzo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Avellino welcome Arezzo to Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 22 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Avellino are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Arezzo are 14th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Avellino, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Monza, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Arezzo, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cagliari, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avellino 1.3 xG, Arezzo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Avellino 28%, draw 53%, Arezzo 19%.
Lower-risk option: Avellino or draw (81%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Avellino or draw (81%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avellino 1–1 Arezzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avellino28%fair 3.51 · @2.20

Draw53%fair 1.90 · @3.25

Arezzo19%fair 5.27 · @3.25

2.39Expected goals

1.29Avellino xG

1.10Arezzo xG

55%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Avellino 1.3 – 1.1 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	53%	1.90	3.25 ▲
Double chance	Avellino or draw ✗	81%	1.23	1.33 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.85
Draw no bet	Avellino (draw no bet) ✗	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Arezzo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.06
First team to score	Avellino to score first ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Avellino / FT Avellino ✗	24%	4.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–1 ✗	13%	7.70	–

Avellino – last 6

LDLWWL

14 Aug	@ Monza	0–3	L
8 Aug	vs Torino	1–1	D
1 Aug	@ Lazio	3–6	L
26 Jul	@ Sambenedettese	5–0	W
22 Jul	vs Scafatese	3–1	W
12 May	@ Catanzaro	0–3	L

2.0Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Arezzo – last 6

LWDLDW

14 Aug	@ Cagliari	0–1	L
9 Aug	vs Union Brescia	2–0	W
30 Jul	@ Parma	1–1	D
29 Jul	vs Albinoleffe	1–3	L
25 Jul	vs Folgore Caratese	1–1	D
22 Jul	@ Napoli	3–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Arezzo?

Our pick is Avellino or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Avellino vs Arezzo?

On our numbers Avellino have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Arezzo 19%.

How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Arezzo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Arezzo?

Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Avellino vs Arezzo?

Avellino vs Arezzo (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Avellino v Arezzo: numbers & prediction