Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✓39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.17
Carrarese vs Mantova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Carrarese v Mantova in the Serie B, played at Stadio dei Marmi. In the table, Carrarese are 17th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Mantova are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Carrarese, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Torino, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mantova, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lazio, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Mantova, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Carrarese.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Mantova 1–1 Carrarese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 1.3 xG, Mantova 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 38%, draw 23%, Mantova 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mantova to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 1–1 Mantova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrarese38%fair 2.64 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Mantova39%fair 2.54 · @2.98
2.57Expected goals
1.27Carrarese xG
1.30Mantova xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.3 – 1.3 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Carrarese vs Mantova?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mantova 39%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Mantova?
Carrarese vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
