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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sudtirol v Virtus Entella: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Marco Druso
1–0
FT
Sudtirol 45%Draw 23%Virtus Entella 32% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.96
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Virtus Entella to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSudtirol to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus Entella travel to face Sudtirol on Saturday 22 August in the Serie B, with Stadio Marco Druso the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Sudtirol are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Virtus Entella are 16th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Sudtirol, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Catanzaro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Virtus Entella, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hellas Verona, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sudtirol 1.2 xG, Virtus Entella 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sudtirol 45%, draw 23%, Virtus Entella 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Virtus Entella to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sudtirol 1–1 Virtus Entella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sudtirol45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Virtus Entella32%fair 3.12 · @3.60
2.17Expected goals
1.21Sudtirol xG
0.96Virtus Entella xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.2 – 1.0 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSudtirol to win ✓45%2.232.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.10 ▲
Draw no betSudtirol (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapVirtus Entella +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreSudtirol to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sudtirol / FT Sudtirol ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.43–

Recent results

Sudtirol – last 6

DWDDDL
15 Aug@ Catanzaro2–2D
7 Augvs Virtus Verona1–0W
25 Julvs 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–0D
22 Mayvs Bari0–0D
8 Mayvs Juve Stabia1–1D
1 May@ Sampdoria0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Virtus Entella – last 6

DLWLWL
16 Aug@ Hellas Verona2–2D
8 Augvs Carrarese0–1L
5 Augvs Novara2–1W
25 Jul@ Empoli0–1L
8 Mayvs Carrarese2–1W
1 May@ Bari0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sudtirol and Virtus Entella.

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

On our numbers Sudtirol have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Virtus Entella 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marco Druso.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.