Value bet: Benevento to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenevento to win ✗54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benevento welcome Vicenza Virtus to Stadio Ciro Vigorito for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 17 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Benevento are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Vicenza Virtus are 18th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Benevento, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cesena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Vicenza Virtus, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Pisa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Benevento, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Vicenza Virtus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.7 xG, Vicenza Virtus 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 54%, draw 22%, Vicenza Virtus 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Benevento to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–1 Vicenza Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento54%fair 1.86 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Vicenza Virtus24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.71Benevento xG
1.04Vicenza Virtus xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.7 – 1.0 Vicenza Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Vicenza Virtus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Benevento to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 6
WLWWLD
10 Oct
vs Cesena
2–0
W
2 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vicenza Virtus – last 6
LLDDLW
10 Oct
vs Pisa
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Virtus Entella
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Avellino
0–3
L
21 Aug
vs Catanzaro
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Vicenza Virtus.
What is the prediction for Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus?
On our numbers Benevento have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vicenza Virtus 24%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus?
Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
