Value bet: Virtus Entella to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVirtus Entella to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.80
Padova vs Virtus Entella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Padova v Virtus Entella in the Serie B, played at Stadio Euganeo. In the table, Padova are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Virtus Entella are 16th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Padova, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Carrarese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Virtus Entella, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juve Stabia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Padova 1.1 xG, Virtus Entella 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Padova 37%, draw 25%, Virtus Entella 39%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Virtus Entella to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Padova 1–1 Virtus Entella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Padova37%fair 2.73 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.88
Virtus Entella39%fair 2.60 · @3.00
2.33Expected goals
1.15Padova xG
1.18Virtus Entella xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Padova 1.1 – 1.2 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Entella to win✓
39%
2.60
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Virtus Entella (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Padova +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Virtus Entella to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Entella / FT Virtus Entella✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.80
–
Recent results
Padova – last 6
LLWLDW
11 Oct
vs Carrarese
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Palermo
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cremonese
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Pisa
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Virtus Entella – last 6
DDWDLL
10 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Pisa
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Cesena
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sudtirol
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Padova and Virtus Entella.
What is the prediction for Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Padova vs Virtus Entella?
On our numbers Padova have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Virtus Entella 39%.
How many goals will there be in Padova vs Virtus Entella?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Our predicted score is Padova 1–1 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Padova vs Virtus Entella?
Padova vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
