Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultModena to win ✗56% · @1.80
Double chanceModena or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Carrarese vs Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Modena travel to face Carrarese on Saturday 17 October in the Serie B, with Stadio dei Marmi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Carrarese are 17th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Modena are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Carrarese, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Padova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Modena, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hellas Verona, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Modena, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Carrarese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 0.7 xG, Modena 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 18%, draw 26%, Modena 56%.
Lower-risk option: Modena or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Modena or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 0–1 Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrarese18%fair 5.58 · @4.00
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Modena56%fair 1.78 · @1.80
2.25Expected goals
0.73Carrarese xG
1.52Modena xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 0.7 – 1.5 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Double chance
Modena or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Carrarese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Modena to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Carrarese – last 6
WLLLDL
11 Oct
@ Padova
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Benevento
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Catanzaro
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Empoli
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Ascoli
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Mantova
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
WWDLWW
11 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Avellino
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Cremonese
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Benevento
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Modena.
Our pick is Modena or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carrarese vs Modena?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Modena 56%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Modena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 0–1 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Modena?
Carrarese vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
