Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Mantova vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Serie B brings Mantova against Palermo at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Mantova, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Catanzaro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Palermo, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Empoli, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Mantova.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Sep 2026) it ended Palermo 5–2 Mantova. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mantova 0 wins, Palermo 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.5 xG, Palermo 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 33%, draw 23%, Palermo 44%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Palermo44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
3.33Expected goals
1.53Mantova xG
1.80Palermo xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.5 – 1.8 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mantova vs Palermo?
On our numbers Mantova have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Palermo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Palermo?
Mantova vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
