On Saturday 22 August the Premyer Liqa brings Qarabag against Kapaz at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Qarabag are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Kapaz are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Qarabag, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Twente, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kapaz, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sabah FA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Kapaz.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Kapaz 1–0 Qarabag.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 2.3 xG, Kapaz 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 72%, draw 20%, Kapaz 8%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Qarabag to win (72%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 2–0 Kapaz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qarabag72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @5.80
Kapaz8%fair 12.75 · @12.00
3.00Expected goals
2.30Qarabag xG
0.70Kapaz xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Qarabag 2.3 – 0.7 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Qarabag to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Qarabag vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kapaz 8%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Kapaz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 2–0 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Kapaz?
Qarabag vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
