Turan 64%Draw 24%Şamaxı FK 12%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.68
64%
Betarazi pick
Turan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTuran to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Turan vs Şamaxı FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Premyer Liqa brings Turan against Şamaxı FK. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Turan are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Şamaxı FK are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Turan, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qabala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Şamaxı FK, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Qarabag, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Turan, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Şamaxı FK.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Keshla FC 0–0 Turan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Turan 1.8 xG, Şamaxı FK 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Turan 64%, draw 24%, Şamaxı FK 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Turan to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turan 1–0 Şamaxı FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Turan64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Şamaxı FK12%fair 8.01 · @5.80
2.50Expected goals
1.82Turan xG
0.68Şamaxı FK xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Turan 1.8 – 0.7 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Turan to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Turan have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Şamaxı FK 12%.
How many goals will there be in Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Turan vs Şamaxı FK?
Turan vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
