Value bet: Imisli FK to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQabala to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Qabala vs Imisli FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qabala welcome Imisli FK for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Friday 4 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Qabala are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Imisli FK are 8th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Qabala, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Şamaxı FK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Imisli FK, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Safa Baku, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Qabala 0–1 Imisli FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 0.9 xG, Imisli FK 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 43%, draw 23%, Imisli FK 33%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Imisli FK to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 0–0 Imisli FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qabala43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Imisli FK33%fair 3.01 · @3.60
1.71Expected goals
0.95Qabala xG
0.76Imisli FK xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Qabala 0.9 – 0.8 Imisli FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Qabala vs Imisli FK?
On our numbers Qabala have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imisli FK 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Imisli FK?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Imisli FK?
Our predicted score is Qabala 0–0 Imisli FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Imisli FK?
Qabala vs Imisli FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.