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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qabala v Imisli FK: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan

Qabala

DLLWW
2–1
FT
Qabala 43%Draw 23%Imisli FK 33% Expected goals 0.95 – 0.76
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Imisli FK to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultQabala to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85

Qabala vs Imisli FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Qabala welcome Imisli FK for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Friday 4 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Qabala are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Imisli FK are 8th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Qabala, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Şamaxı FK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Imisli FK, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Safa Baku, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Qabala 0–1 Imisli FK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 0.9 xG, Imisli FK 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 43%, draw 23%, Imisli FK 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Imisli FK to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 0–0 Imisli FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qabala43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Imisli FK33%fair 3.01 · @3.60
1.71Expected goals
0.95Qabala xG
0.76Imisli FK xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Qabala 0.9 – 0.8 Imisli FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQabala to win ✓43%2.312.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.861.62
Draw no betQabala (draw no bet) ✓57%1.77–
Asian handicapImisli FK +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.731.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.471.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.05
First team to scoreQabala to score first45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.85–

Recent results

Qabala – last 6

DLLWWL
29 Augvs Şamaxı FK0–0D
22 Augvs Safa Baku0–1L
14 Aug@ Turan0–1L
28 Mayvs Mingəçevir2–0W
21 Mayvs Şamaxı FK3–1W
19 Apr@ Sumqayıt0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Imisli FK – last 6

WLDDDW
29 Aug@ Safa Baku1–0W
22 Aug@ Zira1–3L
15 Aug@ Araz0–0D
24 Mayvs Karvan1–1D
8 Mayvs Zira0–0D
19 Apr@ Kapaz1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Qabala v Imisli FK0–1
Qabala vs Imisli FK head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qabala vs Imisli FK?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Qabala vs Imisli FK?

On our numbers Qabala have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imisli FK 33%.

How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Imisli FK?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Imisli FK?

Our predicted score is Qabala 0–0 Imisli FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Qabala vs Imisli FK?

Qabala vs Imisli FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.